"Inflection point " , this is a quite doubtful vocabulary. This one vocabulary is in 2007 the end of the year " large-scale appear on the market " , make suspicion in one's mind of whole estate market heavy. Expect and conflict really now, theory and number are in pester, everything appears clearly, everything however pendent, you sing confused I come on stage, 2007 year old the estate of end, remain an all fluky suspense are big.
Did house price go 2008 situation how? Cannot leave orientaton of pair of market supply and demand, policy, land to supply of course, of the main factor such as financial money comb. For this, the reporter hopes to carry in one's power comb and analyse, provide a basic judgement basis for the reader.
The market piece
Does house price rise drop what course to follow?
"House price is certain 2008 in have litre, won't go up greatly, also won't drop greatly. " come from the keep a civil tongue in one's head that countrywide each district gets the person that visit more than times 10 to make a reporter more or less have some questioningly.
Have more dramatic is, ever made known his position publicly to agree with " inflection point is talked " Wang Shi, cannot help the 2nd times standing eventually recently, ego settles indicating inflection point, "Not be house price from the inflection point that rises to drop, not be more from the inflection point that goes up to drop greatly greatly, however from the inflection point that rises to be adjusted to reason quickly " . Besides " in Chinese thing north and south, the area of a country's territory is capacious, different area, city is in different room city cycle, (inflection point) cannot treat as the same " .
Really, different city because of different district characteristic, and different course can be followed on house price. This is a general and applicable law originally. Just, it is under current situation, the difference of house price route chart of this kind of different city more dominance, OK even end is similar and vassal the situation that set up a separatist regime by force of arms, present position of the Warring States of price giving a room.
Huang Yu of standing assistant dean expresses academy of index of China of price of Bao Jun of booth of Beijing, Shanghai, the suburb changes whole of residential booth thin Beijing, Shanghai all valence, this kind of trend will be in farther 2008 apparent. Meanwhile, "90 ／ 70 " of policy fulfil, and applicable room mixes many economy two be restricted of the room roll out, the influence that also will increase price of whole of market of house of commodity of these two cities of pair of Beijing, Shanghai.
Although certain base price of look forward to of Guangzhou, Shenzhen is in 2007 the end of the year, price of house of Guangzhou, Shenzhen " inflection point " evidence emerges, but inside numerous and famous course of study the personage looks, this is not mean price of two town house will fall into abyss 2008, after base price look forward to is firm, building city won't continue big cases to fall greatly. And look in a few experts, price of Shenzhen whole house should be compared 20 ％ ～ drops again when June 2007 look forward to of 30 ％ ability is firm.
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